Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.235171 0.270702 0.308925 0.353000 0.402314 0.455680 0.517688
2025-12-28 0.182074 0.230756 0.287368 0.357618 0.441972 0.539498 0.660246
2026-01-04 0.144686 0.200862 0.271107 0.364294 0.483433 0.629315 0.819948
2026-01-11 0.113815 0.172642 0.251499 0.362861 0.513657 0.708066 0.974492
2026-01-18 0.090554 0.149631 0.234246 0.360906 0.541655 0.785693 1.134470
2026-01-25 0.072594 0.130352 0.218494 0.357846 0.566545 0.860356 1.296303
2026-02-01 0.059041 0.114890 0.205430 0.356084 0.591951 0.936822 1.465964
2026-02-08 0.048486 0.102029 0.194018 0.354640 0.616682 1.013325 1.640618
2026-02-15 0.039632 0.090156 0.182055 0.350161 0.635361 1.081321 1.806737
2026-02-22 0.034098 0.083288 0.177478 0.357030 0.672253 1.179202 2.023919
2026-03-01 0.028278 0.074462 0.167762 0.353308 0.690537 1.248353 2.200320
2026-03-08 0.024039 0.068000 0.161397 0.354560 0.716937 1.331807 2.403905
2026-03-15 0.019742 0.060400 0.151608 0.348278 0.729720 1.394305 2.579024
2026-03-22 0.017722 0.057861 0.152000 0.361933 0.780041 1.523903 2.873157
2026-03-29 0.015880 0.055314 0.151942 0.374586 0.829477 1.655096 3.177508
2026-04-05 0.013643 0.051062 0.147254 0.376865 0.858975 1.752728 3.429642
2026-04-12 0.011646 0.046904 0.142028 0.377207 0.884452 1.844435 3.676189
2026-04-19 0.009865 0.042840 0.136267 0.375510 0.905420 1.928847 3.913993
2026-04-26 0.008394 0.039299 0.131176 0.374605 0.927721 2.016810 4.162428
2026-05-03 0.007148 0.036098 0.126373 0.373682 0.949701 2.105194 4.415797
2026-05-10 0.005988 0.032766 0.120529 0.369362 0.963744 2.178731 4.644976
2026-05-17 0.005324 0.031163 0.119416 0.376782 1.004268 2.306540 4.981920
2026-05-24 0.004477 0.028415 0.114270 0.373031 1.019088 2.383568 5.225664